Transparency

Methods & limitations

What our engines do, what they do not do, and how to use MotiveFX as research software — not as advice or a guarantee.

Core principle

MotiveFX is an AI market intelligence platform. Named engines (Motive Signal™, Probability Engine, Consensus Break, Future Simulator, Market Genome) are research heuristics and ranked narratives — not certified forecasts, trading systems, or personalized advice.

What the engines are

  • Motive Signal™ — confluence score from available factors; triage research, not buy/sell ratings.
  • Probability views — multi-factor theme likelihoods for exploration; not calibrated market odds.
  • Consensus Break — divergence between narrative/sentiment and tape proxies.
  • Future Simulator — educational scenario branches from a seed event.
  • Market Genome — structural fingerprints of how themes relate across markets.

Known limitations

  • Outputs depend on live and archived feeds; demo or missing keys mean sample data.
  • LLM explanations can hallucinate — verify critical facts against primary sources.
  • High confluence can still be late, crowded, or wrong; confluence ≠ edge.
  • Public hit-rate tables remain preliminary until sample size and methodology lock.
  • Sports and prediction modules are analytics-only; geo/age rules may apply.
  • API and institutional features are for research workflows — rate-limited and plan-gated.

How to use MotiveFX well

Treat Daily Brief and Opportunity Radar as a morning research stack. Journal outcomes in Decision History (Ultra+). For methodology detail see Motive Signal and data sources.

We do not execute trades, accept wagers, custody funds, or act as a broker or adviser. Read our Terms.

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